Wednesday, 6 March 2013

New Cypriot Government Making Progress on Bail-Out


Cyprus has moved a step closer to securing a €17.5 billion bailout from the Troika after it agreed on Monday to an independent audit of its banks to assess implementation of anti-money-laundering rules.  The audit was designed to address concerns raised by some EU members that the Island may be being used as a haven for money laundering particularly for wealthy Russians.  Despite strong denials from the Cypriots, the issue has been seen until now as a political stumbling block to securing a rescue package, with the Germans in particular voicing concerns about hard pressed EU members being asked to bail out a territory so that wealthy Russians’ bank deposits are protected.
Since the newly elected centre-right President, Nikos Anastasiades, took over on 1st March from the former communist-led government, there has been positive progress towards securing a debt deal – something which has been rumbling on since last June, but which is now becoming urgent as the tiny country comes close to running out of money. 
However, there are still some significant issues to address. The IMF, one of the potential bailout lenders, is concerned that a conventional rescue would push the Cypriot debt-to-GDP ratio up to an unsustainable level of around 140% and as a consequence there is pressure for depositors in Cyprus to help pay for the rescue, by a process known as a "bail-in".  The Cypriots remain strongly opposed to this, fearing that it could spark a withdrawal of funds from the country, making its economic situation worse. 
However, Anastasiades is believed to be more open to the idea of a sale of some publicly owned assets to raise funds – something which was opposed by his predecessor.
This will doubtless go down to the wire, but the tone of messages coming from both camps has notably improved since the elections.

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